There was a lot of noise after the November 2016 election saying that pollsters had completely missed the likelihood of a Trump victory. Actually, the good polls were well within the margin of error, and most of them showed a shift toward Trump at the very end of the race.
So how to read the polls now? Trump is up… he’s down … his numbers aren’t that much worse than they were when he was elected. What to believe?
Nate Silver’s 538 Blog is one of the best, and was during the election. He’s thoughtful and sober in his analysis, and not prone to drama. I thought this piece was really helpful in tracking Trump’s approval rating, and in understanding what might come next.